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BTC
Market Overview
The market-implied BTC settlement outlook at a glance.
Market-implied state
Market outlook
Unavailable
No settlement data is currently available
PROBABILITY SURFACE
Current Distribution
CHANGE & POSITIONING
What Changed
Exact-series distribution history is unavailable
Holder Snapshot
No holder data for the selected settlement
BTC Market Ladder
Holder Positions
No holder data for this market
Current Measurement Disagreements
Fit vs quote
0
residuals above the model threshold
Largest residual
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model probability − market probability
Median change · 24h
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selected exact-series fitted median
Holder-cohort difference
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large-holder minus small-holder YES allocation
MODEL–MARKET RESIDUALS
No fitted-versus-market residuals above the configured threshold
Universe boundaryNarrative aggregates use their own constituent markets and are not part of the selected exact-settlement fit.
Top Narrative Shiftsby velocity
No narratives
Narrative Exposure Matrixconviction × affected asset
No narrative exposures yet
Narrative / Asset Co-movement
Narrative correlation history is warming up
Notable BTC Measurements
No canonical selected-settlement featured metrics are available
Event Stream
Waiting for live events… run the worker to stream updates